Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:40:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f6f…cb6b
crypto · 1461 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$248 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$256 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$256
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses987 / 473
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1460 / 1461
History coverage252d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day8.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1460 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$2
14 days+$20
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$196
other 4% −$53
sports 0% −$1
politics 0% −$4
tech 0% −$1
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +3.5% -6.3% 70% 53% -11.8%
≤30d 232 -4.2% -13.3% 68% 47% -8.4%
≤90d 905 -3.6% -12.8% 82% 15% -11.1%
all 1460 -9.9% -18.4% 68% 19% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 19% -13.4%
10% -26.2% 14% -21.7%
15% -33.4% 11% -29.3%
20% -39.9% 9% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records