Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:16:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f71…34a2
crypto · 1329 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$214 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$214
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses567 / 762
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1329 / 1329
History coverage36d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day43.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1329 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days+$93
14 days−$137
30 days−$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$18 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$13 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$214
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 263 +3.8% -6.0% 54% 54% -0.5%
≤30d 552 -3.2% -12.4% 52% 52% -14.7%
≤90d 1329 -1.5% -10.9% 43% 22% -10.0%
all 1329 -1.5% -10.9% 43% 22% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 22% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 21% -18.6%
15% -27.2% 21% -26.5%
20% -34.3% 21% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records