Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:18:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0f72…46f9 crypto 110 markets active 7h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$358 (-19%) realized −$358 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate46%51W / 59L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day72.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$400
sports 2% −$8
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -12.6% -21.0% 46% 38% -29.8%
≤30d 110 -12.6% -21.0% 46% 38% -29.8%
≤90d 110 -12.6% -21.0% 46% 38% -29.8%
all 110 -12.6% -21.0% 46% 38% -29.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 38% -29.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.5% 31% -36.5%
15% -35.4% 25% -42.6%
20% -41.8% 22% -48.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$12 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.42 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$358
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses51 / 59
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)110 / 110
History coverage6d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day72.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 110 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 17 $7 +$4 +55%
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $3 +$3 +90%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$9 +278%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$12 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -79%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$9 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $43 −$28 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $22 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$10 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $23 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $45 +$13 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $50 +$20 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$13 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$11 -76%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $14 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 64¢ $7 6h
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees BUY Chicago White Sox 52¢ $4 9h
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees BUY Chicago White Sox 52¢ $1 9h
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 51¢ $1 9h
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 51¢ $1 9h
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 51¢ $2 9h
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 50¢ $1 9h
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Los Angeles Angels 44¢ $3 34h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 55¢ $3 2d
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 52¢ $3 3d
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 53¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 603 history records