Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f72…00d1
crypto · 76 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$267 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$330 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$330
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses15 / 59
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)74 / 76
History coverage37d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$42
14 days−$42
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $22 $23 +$1 (+2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$12 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 13 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 13 $30 −$6 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 13 $5 +$17 +326%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 13 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 13 $21 −$14 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 13 $5 +$50 +955%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 13 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 13 $8 +$8 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 13 $8 +$4 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 13 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 08 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$325
sports 8% −$4
other 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-37.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -18.5% -26.2% 29% 29% -48.9%
≤30d 7 -18.5% -26.2% 29% 29% -48.9%
≤90d 74 -30.3% -37.0% 20% 19% -48.7%
all 74 -30.3% -37.0% 20% 19% -48.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.0% 19% -48.7%
10% -43.0% 19% -53.6%
15% -48.5% 18% -58.1%
20% -53.5% 15% -62.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.76 · official $40.76 (match) · 303 history records