Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:39:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f76…dcc9
sports · 223 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,248 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,053 · open −$276
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,363
Realized−$1,053
Unrealized−$276
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses109 / 125
Whale WR (big bets)32%
Est. fees paid−$1,042
Open positions9
Markets (closed)234 / 223
History coverage6d
Avg bet$365
Trades / day599.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$297
7 days−$1,053
14 days−$1,053
30 days−$1,053
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 72¢ 82¢ $432 $495 +$63 (+15%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Dallas Wings 59¢ 76¢ $381 $486 +$105 (+27%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 57¢ 81¢ $314 $446 +$133 (+42%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 62¢ 64¢ $322 $337 +$15 (+5%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 68¢ 57¢ $343 $287 −$56 (-16%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 32¢ 43¢ $163 $216 +$54 (+33%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 72¢ 69¢ $217 $208 −$8 (-4%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 41¢ 36¢ $214 $187 −$27 (-13%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 53¢ 53¢ $158 $157 −$1 (-1%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 44¢ 24¢ $234 $131 −$104 (-44%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Phoenix Mercury 54¢ 46¢ $138 $119 −$20 (-14%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 27¢ 18¢ $161 $105 −$56 (-35%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 44¢ 19¢ $242 $102 −$140 (-58%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 27¢ 30¢ $41 $46 +$5 (+12%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 50¢ 47¢ $25 $24 −$2 (-7%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Los Angeles Sparks 51¢ 54¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+6%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes 19¢ 1¢ $8 $1 −$7 (-93%)
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Katarina Kuzmova 11¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Anton Arzhankin Lorenzo Gagliardo 17¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Cadence Brace Malaika Rapolu 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Funa Kozaki vs Nao Nishino Funa Kozaki 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Deborah Chiesa 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF Messina: Gabriele Piraino vs Daniele Rapagnetta Daniele Rapagnetta 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Yuno Kitahara 23¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Anton Arzhankin Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Cadence Brace Jun 14 $5 −$13 -282%
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Harmon: Jake Delaney vs Jesse Delaney Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 14 $1 −$1 -102%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Brendan Allen win by KO or TKO? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Jun 14 $2 −$2 -102%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Michael Mmoh Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizuki Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Libema Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Robin Montgomery Jun 14 $16 −$17 -107%
Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $600 +$7 +1%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $268 +$14 +5%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 14 $24 +$7 +29%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 14 $425 −$62 -15%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $703 −$141 -20%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $597 −$1 -0%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $678 −$41 -6%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $333 −$5 -2%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $510 −$8 -2%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $677 −$56 -8%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $976 −$49 -5%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $563 −$4 -1%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $857 +$17 +2%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $190 −$22 -11%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $758 +$46 +6%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $177 +$11 +6%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $206 +$13 +6%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $539 +$4 +1%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $419 +$19 +4%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $844 +$5 +1%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $474 +$12 +3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $594 +$28 +5%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $546 −$8 -1%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $51 +$2 +3%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $394 −$71 -18%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $328 −$25 -8%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $267 +$13 +5%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $901 −$31 -3%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $49 −$16 -32%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $295 −$26 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,138
other 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 49¢ $75 2m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 66¢ $31 2m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 78¢ $118 2m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 43¢ $6 3m
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Phoenix Mercury 55¢ $21 4m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 40¢ $18 5m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 41¢ $2 5m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 49¢ $2 5m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 49¢ $2 5m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 53¢ $5 6m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 53¢ $5 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 58¢ $80 7m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 43¢ $11 8m
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Phoenix Mercury 53¢ $81 9m
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Phoenix Mercury 51¢ $21 9m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 25¢ $3 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 25¢ $1 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 27¢ $41 11m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 53¢ $3 11m
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Los Angeles Sparks 51¢ $15 12m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 50¢ $15 13m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ $5 14m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 67¢ $105 15m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 34¢ $52 15m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 33¢ $17 15m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 67¢ $13 15m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 66¢ $100 15m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 64¢ $43 16m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 62¢ $94 16m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 53¢ $3 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 -11.4% -19.9% 47% 16% -10.7%
≤30d 234 -11.4% -19.9% 47% 16% -10.7%
≤90d 234 -11.4% -19.9% 47% 16% -10.7%
all 234 -11.4% -19.9% 47% 16% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover599.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 16% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 7% -19.3%
15% -34.5% 4% -27.1%
20% -40.9% 3% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,363.08 · official $3,363.16 (match) · 3500 history records