Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f7f…6450
other · 432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84,094 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87,526 · open +$3,432
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,406
Realized−$87,526
Unrealized+$3,432
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses149 / 647
Whale WR (big bets)39%
Open positions36
Markets (closed)796 / 432
History coverage287d
Avg bet$1,165
Trades / day11.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit4%
Chart Positions 36 History 796 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$65,530
7 days−$69,066
14 days−$63,287
30 days−$50,127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 91¢ $323 $7,665 +$7,342 (+2273%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 26¢ $190 $1,257 +$1,068 (+563%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 20¢ $190 $961 +$772 (+407%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 9¢ $323 $756 +$433 (+134%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 12¢ $190 $616 +$427 (+225%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 8¢ $190 $370 +$180 (+95%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $190 $269 +$79 (+42%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $190 $116 −$74 (-39%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $190 $116 −$74 (-39%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $190 $62 −$128 (-67%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $190 $47 −$143 (-75%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $42 −$281 (-87%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $195 $21 −$174 (-89%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $195 $15 −$180 (-92%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $13 −$310 (-96%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $193 $12 −$181 (-94%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $4 −$319 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $4 −$319 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $4 −$319 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $4 −$319 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $4 −$319 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $4 −$319 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $4 −$319 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $4 −$319 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $323 $4 −$319 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 20 Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $78 −$272 -351%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 12 $205 −$205 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $190 −$190 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $238 −$238 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Jun 12 $176 −$176 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 12 $229 −$229 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $238 −$238 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $564 −$564 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $180 −$280 -155%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Jun 12 $272 −$272 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025 Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026 Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 12 $205 −$205 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Jun 12 $176 −$176 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 12 $174 −$174 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 202 Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026 Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 12 to September 19, Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026 Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Jun 12 $205 −$205 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Jun 12 $251 −$251 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $564 −$564 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $270 −$270 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 202 Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? Jun 12 $266 −$266 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 20 Jun 12 $3 −$117 -3401%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $564 −$564 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 20 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Jun 12 $213 −$213 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $446 −$446 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Jun 12 $272 −$272 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026 Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026 Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? Jun 12 $266 −$266 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 97% −$19,785
finance 1% +$133
politics 1% +$892
culture 0% −$39
crypto 0% −$274
world 0% +$197
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 1m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $1,006 17h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $7 18h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $205 18h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $80 18h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $4 18h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $5 18h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $240 18h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $5 19h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $5 19h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $5 19h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $800 19h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $13 20h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $5 20h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $12 20h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $4 20h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 20h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $5 20h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $5 20h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 20h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 21h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $12 21h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $315 23h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $23 24h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $6 25h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 25h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 25h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 25h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 25h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 356 -99.5% -99.5% 0% 0% -88.0%
≤30d 392 -69.9% -72.7% 4% 3% -50.8%
≤90d 507 -41.9% -47.4% 9% 7% -32.8%
all 796 -14.3% -22.5% 19% 13% -30.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.6 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.5% 13% -30.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 10% -37.4%
15% -36.7% 8% -43.4%
20% -42.9% 8% -49.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,406.44 · official $12,406.45 (match) · 3500 history records