trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +126.6% | +105.1% | 67% | 67% | +242.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +49.3% | +35.1% | 50% | 50% | +197.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +11.9% | +1.3% | 45% | 45% | +110.7% |
| all | 73 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 49% | 49% | +24.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 49% | +24.2% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 48% | +12.4% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 47% | +1.5% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 34% | -8.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $479 | $476 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $324 | $322 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $157 | +$696 | +442% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $76 | +$29 | +38% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 09 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $11 | −$10 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $18 | −$4 | -24% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 23 | $25 | +$10 | +40% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 30 | $19 | −$19 | -99% |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | Apr 09 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31? | Apr 09 | $52 | +$51 | +97% |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Mar 31 | $65 | +$25 | +38% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gro | Mar 23 | $57 | −$57 | -100% |
| Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers | Mar 17 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Mar 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | Mar 11 | $31 | +$79 | +257% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Mar 02 | $50 | +$56 | +113% |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14? | Feb 20 | $36 | +$29 | +82% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 14 | $45 | +$20 | +45% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A | Feb 08 | $23 | +$17 | +72% |
| Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 28 | $82 | −$41 | -50% |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Jan 27 | $36 | +$27 | +75% |
| Golden Knights vs. Sharks | Jan 20 | $32 | +$23 | +72% |
| Troy vs. Jacksonville State | Dec 17 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans | Dec 11 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Lions | Dec 11 | $21 | +$14 | +67% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Dec 04 | $24 | +$20 | +85% |
| Bills vs. Texans | Nov 20 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Knicks | Nov 20 | $38 | +$18 | +49% |
| Sabres vs. Bruins | Nov 14 | $22 | +$23 | +108% |
| Wild vs. Capitals | Oct 30 | $10 | +$8 | +85% |
| Panthers vs. Flyers | Oct 13 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10? | Oct 13 | $19 | +$10 | +49% |
| Bengals vs. Broncos | Oct 10 | $13 | +$3 | +25% |
| Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-24? | Sep 24 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Cubs vs. Pirates | Sep 17 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona | Sep 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Arizona State vs. Mississippi State | Sep 12 | $10 | +$22 | +212% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31? | Sep 06 | $8 | +$8 | +92% |
| Will Valencia win on 2025-08-29? | Aug 29 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22? | Aug 29 | $11 | +$7 | +70% |
| Dream vs Storm | Aug 13 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Marlins | Aug 13 | $13 | +$12 | +92% |
| Dodgers vs. Reds | Aug 06 | $12 | +$8 | +70% |
| Reds vs. Mets | Jul 18 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Cubs vs. Yankees | Jul 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Mets vs. Orioles | Jul 09 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Athletics vs. Rays | Jul 09 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Braves vs. Mets | Jul 09 | $8 | +$7 | +79% |
| Pirates vs. Cubs | Jun 24 | $14 | +$6 | +45% |
| Brewers vs. Phillies | Jun 14 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Cubs vs. Phillies | Jun 14 | $8 | +$6 | +79% |