Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:56:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f8c…9092
crypto · 238 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$122 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$122 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses134 / 104
Open positions0
Markets (closed)238 / 238
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.4
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$92
7 days+$117
14 days+$122
30 days+$122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 43¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 32¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 90¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 55¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 26¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 56¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 41¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 55¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 26¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 40¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 26¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 23¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 63¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 30¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 90¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 85¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 85¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 37¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$31 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 +4.6% -5.4% 55% 53% +1.7%
≤30d 238 +1.9% -7.8% 56% 55% +0.9%
≤90d 238 +1.9% -7.8% 56% 55% +0.9%
all 238 +1.9% -7.8% 56% 55% +0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.8% 55% +0.9%
10% -16.6% 47% -8.8%
15% -24.7% 43% -17.6%
20% -32.1% 42% -25.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 401 history records