Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f9b…bc2f
sports · 558 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$9,292 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,305 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$351
Realized−$9,305
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses350 / 204
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$1,095
Open positions4
Markets (closed)554 / 558
History coverage142d
Avg bet$246
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 554 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days+$1,075
14 days−$1,320
30 days−$3,659
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 65¢ 64¢ $150 $147 −$3 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 86¢ 100¢ $110 $127 +$17 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 70¢ 62¢ $60 $53 −$7 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 73¢ 100¢ $18 $25 +$7 (+36%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 +$6 +197%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $343 +$357 +104%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$3 +8%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $214 −$214 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $137 +$207 +152%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $182 −$182 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $326 −$216 -66%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $215 +$1 +1%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $82 +$48 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $101 +$26 +26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $202 −$108 -54%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $152 −$122 -80%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $135 +$32 +24%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $102 −$65 -64%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $51 +$99 +194%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $123 −$61 -50%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $353 −$56 -16%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $65 +$35 +54%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $51 +$31 +62%
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) Jun 10 $50 +$11 +23%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $169 +$105 +62%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $25 +$2 +6%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $42 −$16 -38%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $71 +$39 +55%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $150 +$17 +11%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $301 +$9 +3%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $289 +$13 +5%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $151 +$19 +12%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $344 +$83 +24%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $214 +$163 +76%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$5 +27%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $203 −$151 -74%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $201 +$53 +26%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $357 +$99 +28%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $104 −$75 -72%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $50 +$11 +22%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $114 +$11 +10%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) Jun 09 $50 +$17 +34%
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5) Jun 09 $50 +$18 +36%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $100 −$2 -2%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $10 −$4 -39%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $192 +$43 +22%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $50 +$15 +31%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$4 +13%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $101 +$71 +70%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $304 +$149 +49%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $231 +$13 +6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $142 +$105 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$9,292
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $152 2m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 62¢ $10 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 62¢ $10 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 72¢ $10 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 76¢ $30 16m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 78¢ $33 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 71¢ $30 54m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 72¢ $10 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $152 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 75¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 89¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 66¢ $10 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $119 1h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 33¢ $3 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $5 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $338 11h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) BUY Spirit 39¢ $137 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 4¢ $23 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 38¢ $116 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 38¢ $116 22h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner SELL Solary 78¢ $210 22h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner SELL Solary 78¢ $6 22h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Solary 100¢ $130 22h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 77¢ $215 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $127 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 36¢ $87 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 37¢ $94 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 32¢ $94 22h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Solary 56¢ $28 23h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Solary 67¢ $54 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +13.6% +2.8% 70% 58% -1.2%
≤30d 199 +2.2% -7.5% 62% 55% -16.0%
≤90d 364 +1.9% -7.8% 62% 57% -18.6%
all 554 +2.5% -7.2% 63% 57% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 57% -15.7%
10% -16.1% 48% -23.8%
15% -24.2% 36% -31.1%
20% -31.6% 25% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $351.19 · official $346.57 · 2017 history records