trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 50% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 60% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 60% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 25 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 56% | 0% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 24 | $57 | $0 | +0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $51 | +$1 | +2% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $61 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 03 | $43 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $200 | +$1 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 01 | $20 | −$2 | -10% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 29 | $49 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Solana ETF approved by July 31? | Dec 12 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 25 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 02 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 01 | $17 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 31 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 30 | $16 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? | Mar 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17? | Mar 18 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend? | Mar 18 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Maryland vs. Michigan | Mar 07 | $15 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Trump's joint address to Congress be less than 50 min? | Mar 04 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump's 2025 joint address get 42-46m viewers? | Mar 04 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| San Diego State vs. UNLV | Mar 04 | $13 | $0 | -1% |