Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:37:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0fb7…0bd3 crypto 370 markets active 22h ago coverage 345d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$143 (-1%) realized −$143 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate51%187W / 183L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day2.4pace
Fees−$86est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$310
7 days+$22
14 days−$889
30 days−$592
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 51% +$430
crypto 47% −$873
other 2% −$25
politics 0% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +13.3% +2.5% 67% 50% -7.9%
≤30d 212 -11.3% -19.8% 40% 34% -13.8%
≤90d 212 -11.3% -19.8% 40% 34% -13.8%
all 370 -6.6% -15.5% 51% 37% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 37% -11.6%
10% -23.6% 30% -20.1%
15% -31.0% 25% -27.8%
20% -37.8% 19% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$24 vs −$27 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

345d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$143
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses187 / 183
Est. fees paid−$86
Open positions0
Markets (closed)370 / 370
History coverage345d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 370 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $201 +$41 +21%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $190 +$386 +203%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $60 +$130 +216%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $42 +$19 +44%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $311 −$269 -87%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $300 $0 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $308 +$3 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $247 +$61 +25%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $27 +$21 +76%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $606 −$597 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $472 +$173 +37%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $200 +$272 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 09 $64 −$49 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $104 −$59 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $103 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $91 +$17 +19%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 06 $72 −$44 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 06 $34 +$14 +40%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $69 +$67 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 06 $42 −$33 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 06 $21 −$16 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 06 $20 +$4 +18%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $108 +$6 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $76 +$33 +43%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $50 −$49 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 05 $61 −$56 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 05 $42 −$26 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 05 $42 −$35 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 05 $42 −$12 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 05 $22 −$8 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$15 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$16 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 05 $17 +$25 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 05 $105 +$48 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 04 $80 +$74 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 04 $21 −$16 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 04 $12 +$8 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 04 $42 −$36 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 04 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 04 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 04 $22 −$6 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 04 $11 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 04 $21 +$45 +214%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $243 22h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 82¢ $201 22h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $576 23h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $190 23h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $191 24h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $60 24h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 50¢ $60 29h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 34¢ $42 29h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 6¢ $41 43h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 43¢ $311 44h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $300 46h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 100¢ $300 47h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $311 47h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 99¢ $308 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $308 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 84¢ $199 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $49 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 56¢ $27 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 1¢ $9 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 68¢ $606 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 11¢ $21 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $32 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 96¢ $614 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 70¢ $472 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 89¢ $472 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 37¢ $200 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $53 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $45 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1014 history records