Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:55:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0fb9…ec36 crypto 124 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (309 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$928 (+18%) realized +$928 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate49%61W / 63L
Drawdown55%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day309.3pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$828
other 10% +$17
sports 3% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (309 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -13.5% -21.7% 49% 30% +4.2%
≤30d 124 -13.5% -21.7% 49% 30% +4.2%
≤90d 124 -13.5% -21.7% 49% 30% +4.2%
all 124 -13.5% -21.7% 49% 30% +4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover309.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.7% 30% +4.2%
10% ← realistic here -29.2% 22% -5.8%
15% -36.0% 16% -14.9%
20% -42.3% 14% -23.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +15% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt +15% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -19% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$13 · ×1.99 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.92 per $1 lost it wins $1.92
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$928
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses61 / 63
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)124 / 124
History coverage2d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day309.3
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 124 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +10%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? Jun 18 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $49 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 20? Jun 18 $2 $0 -21%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 24? Jun 18 $1 $0 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? Jun 18 $1 $0 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? Jun 18 $1 $0 -12%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $1 $0 -10%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 22? Jun 18 $3 $0 -3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 22? Jun 18 $3 $0 -4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 24? Jun 18 $4 $0 -5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 21? Jun 18 $4 $0 -3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 24? Jun 18 $11 $0 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24? Jun 18 $2 $0 -21%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $19 −$1 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $2 −$1 -24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $13 $0 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23? Jun 18 $1 $0 -26%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 18? Jun 18 $66 −$14 -21%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 23? Jun 18 $1 $0 -34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22? Jun 18 $2 −$1 -36%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 20? Jun 18 $5 $0 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 20? Jun 18 $5 $0 -4%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? Jun 18 $74 −$14 -20%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $4 −$1 -22%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21? Jun 18 $100 −$5 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $180 +$251 +139%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $67 −$7 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $66 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$11 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $28 −$24 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $145 +$63 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $52 +$30 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $7 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $305 +$197 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? SELL No 92¢ $114 1h
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? BUY No 80¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $11 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 20? SELL No 77¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 24? SELL No 89¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? SELL Yes 91¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 5h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18? SELL No 30¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 22? SELL No 98¢ $3 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 22? SELL No 93¢ $3 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 24? SELL No 95¢ $4 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 21? SELL No 97¢ $4 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 20? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 24? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 726 history records