trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 14? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $14 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -7.5% | -16.3% | 0% | 0% | -16.8% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -7.5% | -16.3% | 0% | 0% | -16.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -7.5% | -16.3% | 0% | 0% | -16.8% |
| all | 7 | -7.5% | -16.3% | 0% | 0% | -16.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -16.3% | 0% | -16.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -24.3% | 0% | -24.7% |
| 15% | -31.6% | 0% | -32.0% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 0% | -38.7% |