Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fc4…acc4
crypto · 79 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$20 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses67 / 10
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)77 / 79
History coverage32d
Avg bet$355
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $32 $34 +$2 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13? Yes 44¢ 48¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $517 $0 −$517 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 13 $97 −$22 -23%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 12 $17 +$20 +117%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 12 $35 −$32 -92%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $63 +$33 +53%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 11 $31 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 11 $15 +$5 +32%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 30 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET May 20 $518 −$517 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ET May 20 $525 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET May 19 $516 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET May 19 $516 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET May 19 $486 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET May 19 $496 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET May 19 $496 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET May 19 $485 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET May 19 $485 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET May 19 $475 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6PM ET May 19 $465 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET May 19 $476 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET May 18 $466 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET May 18 $466 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET May 18 $456 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET May 18 $455 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET May 18 $347 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET May 18 $446 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET May 18 $432 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET May 18 $436 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET May 18 $426 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET May 17 $426 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET May 17 $205 +$102 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET May 17 $416 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET May 17 $416 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12AM ET May 17 $416 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET May 17 $404 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET May 17 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET May 16 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET May 16 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET May 16 $387 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET May 16 $372 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET May 16 $376 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET May 16 $376 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2AM ET May 16 $367 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12AM ET May 16 $367 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET May 15 $366 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET May 15 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET May 15 $357 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET May 15 $354 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET May 15 $347 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET May 15 $347 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET May 15 $347 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$13
weather 1% +$4
world 0% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 81¢ $50 11h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju SELL Yes 33¢ $7 11h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju SELL Yes 37¢ $30 11h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL Yes 13¢ $13 12h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju SELL Yes 3¢ $3 15h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 25h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $23 25h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 16¢ $2 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 16¢ $2 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 16¢ $2 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 16¢ $2 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 16¢ $2 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 16¢ $2 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 15¢ $1 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 15¢ $2 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 15¢ $2 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 16¢ $2 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 15¢ $2 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)+55.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +14.0% +3.1% 50% 50% -8.5%
≤30d 64 +87.6% +69.7% 86% 9% -11.6%
≤90d 77 +71.7% +55.3% 87% 8% -11.1%
all 77 +71.7% +55.3% 87% 8% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +55.3% 8% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here +40.5% 8% -19.6%
15% +26.9% 6% -27.4%
20% +14.4% 6% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.38 · official $49.38 (match) · 915 history records