Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:31:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fc8…534a
crypto · 52 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$53 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$53 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$53
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses28 / 22
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)50 / 52
History coverage32d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$38
14 days+$38
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 70¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 62¢ 62¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $15 +$10 +64%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14 +$8 +59%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $15 +$7 +47%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $15 +$13 +82%
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular May 16 $31 +$41 +134%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 16 $5 +$5 +90%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs May 15 $5 −$5 -93%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $10 +$4 +43%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 15 $4 +$2 +43%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 15 $11 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 15 $2 +$1 +60%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 15 $3 +$4 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 14 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 14 $5 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 14 $5 +$10 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 14 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 14 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 14 $5 +$12 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group May 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $4 +$1 +22%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $10 +$9 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% +$92
crypto 48% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $25 15h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $15 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $23 34h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $14 35h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL TheMongolz 78¢ $22 42h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $15 46h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage SELL FUT Esports 71¢ $28 2d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY FUT Esports 38¢ $15 2d
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular SELL MVK Esports 100¢ $71 27d
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular BUY MVK Esports 42¢ $31 27d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Nongshim Red Force 36¢ $5 27d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs SELL Global Esports 3¢ $0 28d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs SELL Spirit 100¢ $14 28d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $6 28d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $5 28d
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Gen.G 63¢ $5 28d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs BUY Global Esports 47¢ $5 28d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY Spirit 69¢ $10 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $3 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 29d
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B BUY PARIVISION 43¢ $3 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $8 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +63.1% +47.6% 100% 100% +47.7%
≤30d 46 +2.3% -7.4% 52% 50% +2.4%
≤90d 50 +5.4% -4.6% 56% 54% +5.3%
all 50 +5.4% -4.6% 56% 54% +5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.6% 54% +5.3%
10% -13.7% 48% -4.8%
15% -22.1% 40% -14.0%
20% -29.7% 26% -22.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.77 · official $29.77 (match) · 100 history records