Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:31:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fc9…15f9
other · 47 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$51 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized+$50
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses23 / 18
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)41 / 47
History coverage215d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 6 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$96
7 days−$96
14 days−$96
30 days−$96
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 42¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 40¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-17%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 24¢ 22¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $37 +$40 +109%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$13 +250%
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in November? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026?? Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Apr 08 $32 +$16 +49%
US government shutdown Saturday? Dec 16 $20 +$4 +18%
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06? Dec 06 $4 +$21 +524%
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026?? Dec 01 $34 −$16 -48%
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in November? Nov 29 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of November? Nov 29 $10 +$9 +85%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of November? Nov 28 $31 +$44 +143%
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Nov 25 $5 $0 +10%
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? Nov 23 $1 $0 +11%
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23? Nov 23 $1 +$1 +44%
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23? Nov 23 $14 +$22 +156%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in November? Nov 23 $13 −$9 -66%
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? Nov 21 $19 +$3 +17%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November? Nov 21 $10 +$7 +72%
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23? Nov 20 $16 +$27 +168%
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Nov 20 $9 $0 +0%
Will the government shutdown end November 12? Nov 13 $6 +$19 +317%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12? Nov 12 $14 +$7 +50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November Nov 12 $13 +$17 +129%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November Nov 12 $40 −$13 -34%
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings? Nov 12 $81 +$3 +4%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Nov 12 $60 −$1 -2%
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Nov 11 $47 −$6 -13%
Will XRP reach $3.20 in November? Nov 11 $40 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 11? Nov 11 $21 +$1 +4%
Will XRP reach $2.60 in November? Nov 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 33% +$7
crypto 28% +$5
tech 15% −$8
sports 10% +$31
finance 10% +$3
politics 3% +$23
world 1% −$10
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 42¢ $10 47m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $6 48m
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 52¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $37 10h
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals BUY Yes 17¢ $2 31h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 31h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 32h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 44¢ $6 32h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 34h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 34h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 44h
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 31¢ $20 15d
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? BUY No 43¢ $20 65d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? SELL No 52¢ $48 66d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? BUY No 35¢ $32 123d
US government shutdown Saturday? SELL Yes 33¢ $6 179d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 185d
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06? SELL Yes 100¢ $25 189d
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06? BUY Yes 16¢ $4 189d
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 191d
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026?? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 193d
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY Yes 62¢ $12 194d
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026?? SELL Yes 14¢ $18 194d
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026?? BUY Yes 44¢ $40 196d
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026?? BUY Yes 27¢ $34 196d
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in November? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 196d
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of November? SELL Yes 92¢ $50 197d
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 199d
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 200d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -39.0% -44.8% 27% 27% -49.9%
≤30d 15 -39.0% -44.8% 27% 27% -49.9%
≤90d 16 -33.5% -39.8% 31% 31% -39.0%
all 41 +24.2% +12.3% 56% 46% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +12.3% 46% -3.6%
10% +1.6% 39% -12.9%
15% -8.2% 37% -21.3%
20% -17.2% 29% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.46 · official $38.46 (match) · 103 history records