Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:19:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fcb…cc09
crypto · 48 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$95 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$104 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized+$104
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses16 / 22
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)38 / 48
History coverage117d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 6 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 48¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners Over 53¢ 54¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-18%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Yes 30¢ 22¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-28%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 30¢ 14¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Mar 26 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Mar 26 $7 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Mar 26 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Mar 26 $5 +$5 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Mar 26 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Feb 17 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Feb 17 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Feb 17 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Feb 17 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Feb 17 $30 −$27 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Feb 17 $14 +$13 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Feb 17 $30 −$22 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Feb 15 $20 +$13 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Feb 15 $22 +$22 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Feb 15 $13 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Feb 15 $7 +$5 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Feb 15 $26 −$10 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Feb 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Feb 15 $14 +$3 +23%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 15 $14 $0 -2%
Men's Group A - Canada vs. France Feb 15 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Feb 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? Feb 15 $1 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Feb 15 $5 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Feb 15 $12 −$7 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Feb 15 $25 +$31 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Feb 15 $137 −$76 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Feb 15 $62 +$60 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Feb 15 $174 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Feb 15 $20 −$17 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Feb 15 $21 +$38 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Feb 15 $20 +$49 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Feb 15 $15 +$20 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Feb 15 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Feb 15 $19 +$14 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Feb 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Feb 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% +$104
other 12% $0
sports 3% −$9
politics 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? A BUY 32¢ $31 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND BUY 8¢ $15 2h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 6¢ $10 2h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 4¢ $31 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 53¢ $10 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 30¢ $10 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 30¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $6 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $3 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $10 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $6 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $4 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 115d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 6 -9.7% -18.3% 33% 33% -22.6%
all 38 -1.1% -10.5% 42% 37% +6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 37% +6.6%
10% -19.1% 34% -3.6%
15% -26.9% 29% -12.9%
20% -34.1% 29% -21.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.39 · official $145.39 · 114 history records