trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 38% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 24 | -3.0% | -12.2% | 38% | 0% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.2% | 0% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -20.6% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -35.3% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 20 | $34 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $60 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 11 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Dec 13 | $2 | −$1 | -42% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 21 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | Mar 19 | $15 | −$2 | -14% |
| Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards? | Mar 03 | $16 | −$2 | -12% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on March 3? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | -2% |
| Will "Maria" win Best Cinematography at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on March 3? | Mar 03 | $18 | −$1 | -6% |