Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fe4…01b7
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$148,340 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129,047 · open −$1,985
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$218,782
Realized−$129,047
Unrealized−$1,985
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses56 / 272
Whale WR (big bets)18%
Open positions28
Markets (closed)328 / 39
Avg bet$20,068
Trades / day470.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 28 History 328 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$184,409
7 days−$129,047
14 days−$129,047
30 days−$129,047
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 89¢ 95¢ $58,989 $63,181 +$4,192 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 89¢ 95¢ $42,455 $45,097 +$2,642 (+6%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? No 95¢ 99¢ $19,067 $19,904 +$837 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 93¢ 97¢ $17,120 $17,808 +$688 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? No 80¢ 90¢ $9,808 $11,116 +$1,307 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 69¢ 92¢ $6,899 $9,097 +$2,198 (+32%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 93¢ 94¢ $8,017 $8,130 +$112 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 28¢ 22¢ $10,452 $8,102 −$2,350 (-22%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? No 94¢ 98¢ $6,135 $6,392 +$258 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 39¢ 48¢ $4,620 $5,732 +$1,112 (+24%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? No 96¢ 98¢ $4,500 $4,621 +$121 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 94¢ 97¢ $4,261 $4,377 +$115 (+3%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? No 96¢ 100¢ $2,817 $2,939 +$122 (+4%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? No 81¢ 82¢ $1,787 $1,797 +$10 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? Yes 26¢ 11¢ $4,286 $1,780 −$2,506 (-58%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 29¢ 8¢ $5,820 $1,720 −$4,100 (-70%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 31¢ 15¢ $2,366 $1,145 −$1,221 (-52%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? No 29¢ 16¢ $1,787 $1,011 −$776 (-43%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? Yes 51¢ 36¢ $1,388 $997 −$391 (-28%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $853 $972 +$119 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Down 29¢ 10¢ $2,882 $948 −$1,934 (-67%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Up 79¢ 90¢ $808 $923 +$114 (+14%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? No 89¢ 92¢ $360 $372 +$12 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 58¢ 27¢ $511 $240 −$271 (-53%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June? Yes 14¢ 2¢ $1,312 $177 −$1,134 (-86%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29? Jun 12 $351 −$958 -273%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 28? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? Jun 12 $1,924 −$2,188 -114%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24? Jun 12 $1,181 −$1,018 -86%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13? Jun 12 $284 +$671 +236%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? Jun 12 $1,681 +$3,025 +180%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 15? Jun 12 $1,276 −$1,275 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 9? Jun 12 $577 +$1,057 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24? Jun 12 $2,347 −$135 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 21? Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 14? Jun 12 $274 −$274 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 17? Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 12 $2,675 −$2,218 -83%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? Jun 12 $3,355 −$6,020 -179%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 1? Jun 12 $855 +$4,198 +491%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17? Jun 12 $728 −$829 -114%
Ethereum Up or Down on February 25? Jun 12 $1,672 +$304 +18%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 8? Jun 12 $1,617 −$2,429 -150%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 8? Jun 12 $395 −$395 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 16? Jun 12 $453 −$453 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 15? Jun 12 $884 −$884 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? Jun 12 $1,159 −$97 -8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 13? Jun 12 $2,414 −$2,414 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? Jun 12 $1,388 −$1,388 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 18? Jun 12 $846 −$846 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 15? Jun 12 $82 −$82 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10? Jun 12 $416 −$416 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19? Jun 12 $438 −$438 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? Jun 12 $1,937 −$1,983 -102%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 26? Jun 12 $806 −$405 -50%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? Jun 12 $7,661 −$5,494 -72%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? Jun 12 $2,717 +$788 +29%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22? Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on December 28? Jun 12 $549 −$635 -116%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 27? Jun 12 $1,205 −$1,205 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 27? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 9? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 4? Jun 12 $206 −$206 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 21? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28? Jun 12 $5,628 −$4,889 -87%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? Jun 12 $1,888 −$1,811 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25? Jun 12 $49 +$741 +1527%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 22? Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on March 8? Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$44,440
other 1% −$1,290
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 17¢ $67 8m
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? BUY No 90¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 16¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 25¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 32¢ $538 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 27¢ $474 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 34¢ $285 4h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 31¢ $78 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 31¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 30¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 29¢ $352 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 27¢ $77 4h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 27¢ $24 4h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 28¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 25¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 26¢ $34 4h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 27¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 26¢ $67 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 24¢ $178 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 24¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 22¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 22¢ $455 5h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 22¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 22¢ $8 5h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 23¢ $28 5h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 18¢ $410 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 17¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 82¢ $58 6h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 22¢ $19 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)+9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 328 +20.5% +9.0% 17% 16% -22.8%
≤30d 328 +20.5% +9.0% 17% 16% -22.8%
≤90d 328 +20.5% +9.0% 17% 16% -22.8%
all 328 +20.5% +9.0% 17% 16% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover470.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.0% 16% -22.8%
10% -1.4% 15% -30.2%
15% ← realistic here -11.0% 15% -36.9%
20% -19.7% 14% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $218,782.40 · official $218,913.40 (match) · 3500 history records