Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T18:21:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0fe6…e9f0 crypto 65 markets active 2d ago coverage 9d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$2 (-3%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate60%39W / 26L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day11.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$7
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -31.5% -38.0% 50% 46% -36.7%
≤30d 65 -10.4% -18.9% 60% 54% -16.6%
≤90d 65 -10.4% -18.9% 60% 54% -16.6%
all 65 -10.4% -18.9% 60% 54% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.9% 54% -16.6%
10% -26.7% 40% -24.5%
15% -33.8% 25% -31.8%
20% -40.3% 17% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses39 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)65 / 65
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 65 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 24 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 21 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 21 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 116 history records