Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:57:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0ff2…2653 crypto 1165 markets active 1h ago coverage 120d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$91 (+0%) realized +$91 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate96%1124W / 41L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$45per market
Trades / day9.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$40
14 days+$140
30 days+$185
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +2.6% -7.2% 100% 3% -7.2%
≤30d 183 +2.0% -7.7% 99% 4% -7.7%
≤90d 703 +0.4% -9.2% 98% 3% -9.5%
all 1165 +0.3% -9.3% 96% 10% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 10% -9.5%
10% -17.9% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$39 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

120d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1124 / 41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1165 / 1165
History coverage120d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1165 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET Jun 17 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $51 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $53 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$6 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Jun 15 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET Jun 15 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET Jun 14 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $50 +$4 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 09 $50 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $51 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $49 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $51 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $48 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $49 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $51 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $53 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $51 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $51 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $51 31h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $52 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $51 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $52 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2333 history records