trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -45.5% | -50.7% | 20% | 20% | -67.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -33.3% | -39.7% | 33% | 33% | -42.5% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -17.8% | -25.6% | 39% | 39% | -25.1% |
| all | 30 | -23.3% | -30.6% | 37% | 37% | -34.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.6% | 37% | -34.5% |
| 10% | -37.2% | 33% | -40.7% |
| 15% | -43.3% | 33% | -46.5% |
| 20% | -48.8% | 33% | -51.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties? | Yes | 41¢ | 30¢ | $229 | $163 | −$66 (-29%) |
| World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $63 | $60 | −$3 (-5%) |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Uruguay | 38¢ | 38¢ | $42 | $41 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $81 | −$80 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$35 | +172% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$35 | +69% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 | Jun 10 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 | Jun 09 | $41 | +$32 | +79% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta | May 31 | $45 | −$16 | -36% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 | May 26 | $56 | +$44 | +79% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 25 | $47 | −$46 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 23 | $79 | −$78 | -99% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 | May 22 | $70 | +$60 | +86% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5 | May 21 | $54 | +$46 | +86% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 | May 18 | $55 | +$45 | +83% |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | May 17 | $31 | +$6 | +20% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5 | May 08 | $60 | −$60 | -99% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | May 08 | $63 | +$57 | +90% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 | May 03 | $88 | −$86 | -99% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5 | May 03 | $30 | +$27 | +90% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | Apr 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | Apr 07 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Andrey Esipenko win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | Apr 07 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Apr 05 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Rameshbabu Vaishali win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Wom | Apr 05 | $13 | +$45 | +348% |
| Will Matthias Bluebaum win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | Apr 04 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Mar 23 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11? | Feb 11 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |