Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T15:50:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0ff8…6b0f crypto 156 markets active 2h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$98 (-10%) realized −$98 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate54%84W / 72L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day56.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 -11.1% -19.6% 54% 37% -19.7%
≤30d 156 -11.1% -19.6% 54% 37% -19.7%
≤90d 156 -11.1% -19.6% 54% 37% -19.7%
all 156 -11.1% -19.6% 54% 37% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 37% -19.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 24% -27.4%
15% -34.3% 19% -34.4%
20% -40.8% 16% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses84 / 72
Open positions0
Markets (closed)156 / 156
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day56.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 156 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $35 +$5 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 20 $30 +$7 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$7 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $12 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $7 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 20 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 20 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 20 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $15 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $35 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $30 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $14 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 333 history records