Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:45:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1000…9ade
crypto · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$66 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$70 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$70
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses100 / 96
Open positions1
Markets (closed)196 / 197
History coverage83d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -74%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +172%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$31
other 9% −$28
world 3% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 5m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 +0.7% -8.9% 53% 48% -28.8%
≤30d 75 +0.7% -8.9% 53% 48% -28.8%
≤90d 196 -4.9% -13.9% 51% 45% -24.5%
all 196 -4.9% -13.9% 51% 45% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 45% -24.5%
10% -22.2% 40% -31.8%
15% -29.7% 33% -38.4%
20% -36.6% 25% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.02 · official $1.02 (match) · 496 history records