trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 38% | 38% | -16.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 38% | 38% | -16.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 38% | 38% | -16.1% |
| all | 22 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 32% | 32% | -22.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.9% | 32% | -22.7% |
| 10% | -28.5% | 32% | -30.1% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 23% | -36.8% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 23% | -43.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $50 | $45 | −$5 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$60 | +117% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $152 | +$49 | +32% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $289 | +$91 | +32% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $160 | −$80 | -50% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $62 | −$58 | -94% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $31 | +$46 | +150% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $46 | −$45 | -99% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | Jun 15 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $47 | +$40 | +86% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $78 | −$53 | -68% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? | Jan 02 | $541 | −$153 | -28% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Dec 25 | $430 | −$353 | -82% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jul 21 | $10 | −$5 | -53% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jul 21 | $100 | −$54 | -54% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jul 21 | $30 | −$20 | -66% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jul 21 | $3 | +$8 | +265% |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jul 21 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jul 18 | $282 | +$300 | +106% |
| Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Elec | Jul 03 | $50 | −$2 | -3% |