Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:29:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1015…bac8
crypto · 208 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,719 -48%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,707 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$545
Realized−$7,707
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses141 / 537
Open positions3
Markets (closed)678 / 208
History coverage1d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day3308.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 678 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,707
7 days−$7,707
14 days−$7,707
30 days−$7,707
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 85¢ 94¢ $123 $135 +$12 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $66 $107 +$41 (+62%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $50 $71 +$21 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $18 $55 +$38 (+214%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 31¢ 100¢ $15 $48 +$33 (+222%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 48¢ 46¢ $26 $26 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 52¢ 54¢ $24 $24 +$1 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 56¢ 52¢ $17 $16 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $7 $15 +$8 (+114%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 37¢ 48¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+27%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+118%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 48¢ 6¢ $16 $2 −$14 (-87%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+63%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+317%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+138%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+163%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+132%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+156%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$26 -479%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$21 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$42 +239%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$38 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$15 -216%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$17 +539%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +317%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$20 -6874%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$39 -112%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +733%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$30 -19059%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +270%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +317%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$249
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $13 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $26 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $28 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-62.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 678 -58.7% -62.6% 21% 17% -38.5%
≤30d 678 -58.7% -62.6% 21% 17% -38.5%
≤90d 678 -58.7% -62.6% 21% 17% -38.5%
all 678 -58.7% -62.6% 21% 17% -38.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3308.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -62.6% 17% -38.5%
10% ← realistic here -66.2% 13% -44.4%
15% -69.5% 9% -49.8%
20% -72.5% 6% -54.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $544.77 · official $526.88 · 3500 history records