Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1018…7264
finance · 165 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,954 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,014 · open −$43
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP finance specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,561
Realized+$3,014
Unrealized−$43
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses83 / 71
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Open positions18
Markets (closed)154 / 165
Avg bet$1,114
Trades / day141.4
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 18 History 154 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$707
7 days+$3,629
14 days+$2,485
30 days+$3,014
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? No 77¢ 79¢ $366 $377 +$12 (+3%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? No 94¢ 95¢ $251 $255 +$4 (+1%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 12? No 98¢ 96¢ $205 $202 −$3 (-1%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? No 59¢ 46¢ $228 $176 −$51 (-23%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? No 53¢ 66¢ $128 $161 +$33 (+26%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 12? No 96¢ 99¢ $112 $115 +$3 (+3%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 12? No 95¢ 90¢ $108 $103 −$5 (-5%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Up 18¢ 14¢ $67 $50 −$17 (-26%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $32 $33 +$1 (+3%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 12? No 96¢ 100¢ $22 $23 +$1 (+4%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? Yes 49¢ 21¢ $49 $21 −$28 (-57%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 12? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+7%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? Yes 79¢ 55¢ $11 $8 −$4 (-31%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? No 77¢ 99¢ $5 $7 +$1 (+28%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? Yes 10¢ 5¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+22%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 12? No 100¢ 63¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-36%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? No 94¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-33%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 12? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-60%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-98%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 11? Jun 12 $411 +$1 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 12 $54 −$9 -17%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 11? Jun 12 $93 −$13 -14%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? Jun 11 $480 +$308 +64%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 +$1 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 11 $155 +$553 +357%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? Jun 11 $296 +$203 +69%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $52 +$452 +874%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 11? Jun 11 $692 +$313 +45%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? Jun 11 $809 +$256 +32%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1,035 +$143 +14%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 10? Jun 11 $99 −$2 -2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 10? Jun 11 $549 −$13 -2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10? Jun 11 $501 −$123 -24%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 10? Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,376 −$72 -5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 10? Jun 11 $175 −$175 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,224 −$748 -61%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10? Jun 11 $4,361 −$1,680 -38%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $3,018 +$72 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10? Jun 10 $799 −$192 -24%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,102 +$42 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,378 +$58 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 9? Jun 10 $398 −$57 -14%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 9? Jun 09 $2,120 −$9 -0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,169 +$264 +22%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,475 −$309 -9%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 9? Jun 09 $4,560 +$183 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $10,344 +$272 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 9? Jun 09 $2,297 +$701 +30%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 9? Jun 09 $529 +$1 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 9? Jun 09 $429 +$7 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,157 −$405 -35%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,771 −$696 -18%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 9? Jun 09 $34 −$1 -3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 8? Jun 09 $2,450 −$131 -5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 8? Jun 09 $2,049 −$13 -1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8? Jun 09 $2,157 −$402 -19%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 8? Jun 09 $2,166 +$179 +8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on June 8? Jun 08 $961 −$84 -9%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,240 +$124 +10%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,843 +$599 +21%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,399 +$78 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,223 +$183 +8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,342 +$45 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $4,831 +$733 +15%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,180 +$411 +19%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 4? Jun 06 $2,839 −$387 -14%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 4? Jun 06 $2,001 −$92 -5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 06 $990 −$990 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 100% +$2,982
other 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $7 18m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $167 18m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $0 22m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 12? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 25m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 12? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 26m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $1 26m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $1 27m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $1 27m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $1 28m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $1 28m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $1 29m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $1 32m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $1 32m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 12¢ $1 33m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? BUY No 48¢ $4 37m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? BUY No 81¢ $4 46m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? BUY No 68¢ $2 46m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? SELL No 56¢ $1 46m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $100 47m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? SELL No 85¢ $20 48m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 12? BUY No 87¢ $3 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? SELL No 54¢ $27 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 11¢ $12 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $8 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $8 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $8 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $25 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $98 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +25.2% +13.3% 55% 29% -5.8%
≤30d 154 +4.2% -5.7% 54% 18% -8.0%
≤90d 154 +4.2% -5.7% 54% 18% -8.0%
all 154 +4.2% -5.7% 54% 18% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover141.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 18% -8.0%
10% -14.7% 10% -16.8%
15% ← realistic here -23.0% 6% -24.9%
20% -30.5% 4% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,561.20 · official $1,561.20 (match) · 3500 history records