Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:18:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1019…1f27
crypto · 182 markets active 2h ago
5.0score
+$1,679 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,662 · open +$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized+$1,662
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses159 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)181 / 182
History coverage199d
Avg bet$540
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 1 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$323
7 days−$323
14 days−$289
30 days−$289
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 61¢ 100¢ $27 $44 +$17 (+64%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $535 −$323 -60%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $200 +$34 +17%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $300 +$41 +14%
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? May 06 $300 +$39 +13%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $300 +$29 +10%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Apr 24 $300 +$97 +32%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $300 +$51 +17%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $1,200 +$151 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 10 $64 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Apr 10 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Apr 10 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Apr 10 $39 −$38 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 10 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Apr 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Apr 10 $65 −$65 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Apr 10 $132 −$132 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Apr 10 $141 −$141 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Apr 10 $500 −$500 -100%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10? Apr 10 $1,299 +$41 +3%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $500 +$30 +6%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $999 +$39 +4%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $300 +$57 +19%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18? Mar 18 $36 +$1 +4%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? Mar 18 $378 −$343 -90%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? Mar 18 $299 +$79 +26%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? Mar 18 $300 +$199 +66%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17? Mar 17 $9,996 +$281 +3%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14? Mar 14 $15,000 +$225 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Mar 14 $103 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Mar 14 $93 +$10 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Mar 14 $70 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Mar 14 $72 +$6 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Mar 14 $78 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Mar 14 $80 +$11 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Mar 14 $91 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Mar 14 $68 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Mar 14 $67 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Mar 14 $64 +$4 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Mar 14 $63 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Mar 14 $59 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Mar 14 $56 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Mar 14 $47 +$10 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Mar 14 $44 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Mar 14 $42 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Mar 14 $40 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Mar 14 $39 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Mar 14 $36 +$3 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% +$2,431
crypto 10% −$320
sports 1% −$431
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $27 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $27 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 60¢ $186 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 44¢ $186 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $350 3h
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? SELL No 100¢ $234 13d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 85¢ $200 13d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? SELL No 100¢ $341 37d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY No 88¢ $300 37d
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? SELL No 100¢ $339 37d
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? BUY No 88¢ $300 37d
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26? SELL Yes 99¢ $329 47d
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26? BUY Yes 90¢ $300 47d
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? SELL No 100¢ $396 49d
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? BUY No 75¢ $300 49d
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15? SELL No 100¢ $351 58d
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15? BUY No 85¢ $300 58d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,351 62d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 94¢ $100 62d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 90¢ $100 62d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 88¢ $100 62d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 88¢ $100 62d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 88¢ $200 62d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $300 62d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 89¢ $299 62d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 89¢ $1 62d
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10? SELL No 100¢ $1,340 63d
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10? BUY No 99¢ $999 63d
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10? BUY No 91¢ $300 63d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04? SELL No 100¢ $530 69d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -60.3% -64.1% 0% 0% -64.1%
≤30d 2 -21.7% -29.1% 50% 50% -45.1%
≤90d 30 -36.7% -42.8% 53% 30% -12.2%
all 181 +2.2% -7.5% 88% 43% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 43% -8.0%
10% -16.4% 19% -16.8%
15% -24.4% 7% -24.8%
20% -31.9% 3% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.01 · official $44.01 (match) · 404 history records