Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:06:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x101f…c34e
sports · 132 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses56 / 73
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)129 / 132
History coverage10d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day13.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 3 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 43¢ 46¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $2 +$2 +119%
Central African Republic vs. Togo: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: San Marino (-1.5) Jun 05 $2 $0 +20%
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 +$5 +250%
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Slovakia (-1.5) Jun 05 $2 +$1 +46%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 +$3 +140%
Spread: Georgia (-1.5) Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $2 $0 +21%
Spread: Georgia (-2.5) Jun 05 $2 +$1 +44%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $2 +$1 +52%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $2 +$3 +134%
Will Syria win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5) Jun 05 $4 +$1 +17%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 5.5 Jun 05 $2 +$1 +26%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $2 +$1 +58%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $2 +$3 +134%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $2 +$7 +344%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $4 −$1 -37%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $4 −$1 -29%
Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $4 $0 -5%
Spread: Thailand (-1.5) Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $2 +$2 +83%
Thailand vs. Kuwait: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $2 +$2 +97%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $4 $0 -9%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $4 +$1 +30%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 05 $2 +$2 +83%
Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $2 +$3 +134%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 05 $2 +$4 +216%
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $2 $0 +18%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $2 $0 +20%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 05 $2 +$1 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$13
other 15% −$7
politics 5% +$1
world 2% −$2
crypto 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Confere BUY Yes 32¢ $3 1h
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? BUY No 43¢ $10 22h
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 43h
Central African Republic vs. Togo: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $2 7d
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 7d
Will Syria win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 7d
Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 45¢ $2 7d
Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 7d
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $2 7d
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 19¢ $2 7d
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? BUY No 23¢ $2 7d
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $2 7d
Spread: Georgia (-2.5) BUY Bahrain 69¢ $2 7d
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 7d
Spread: Georgia (-1.5) BUY Bahrain 46¢ $2 7d
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05? BUY No 32¢ $2 7d
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 66¢ $2 7d
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 7d
Spread: San Marino (-1.5) BUY Bangladesh 83¢ $2 7d
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 39¢ $2 7d
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to Score BUY No 59¢ $2 7d
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? BUY No 41¢ $2 7d
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 7d
Spread: Slovakia (-1.5) BUY Montenegro 68¢ $2 7d
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 79¢ $2 7d
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 9¢ $2 7d
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05? BUY No 11¢ $2 7d
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 63¢ $2 7d
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05? BUY No 44¢ $2 7d
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 129 -9.1% -17.8% 43% 43% -17.7%
≤90d 129 -9.1% -17.8% 43% 43% -17.7%
all 129 -9.1% -17.8% 43% 43% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.8% 43% -17.7%
10% -25.7% 39% -25.6%
15% -32.8% 33% -32.8%
20% -39.4% 28% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.14 · official $18.15 (match) · 273 history records