Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:35:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1027…1bc5
world · 8 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)3 / 8
History coverage19d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 5 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No 96¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No 96¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 92¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? Jun 02 $1 $0 +9%
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31? Jun 02 $1 $0 +4%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? May 27 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 75% $0
other 13% $0
politics 12% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 1h
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $1 1h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $1 1h
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? SELL No 93¢ $1 10d
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31? BUY No 96¢ $1 19d
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $1 19d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $1 19d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $1 19d
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? BUY No 85¢ $1 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 3 +7.5% -2.8% 100% 0% -2.8%
≤90d 3 +7.5% -2.8% 100% 0% -2.8%
all 3 +7.5% -2.8% 100% 0% -2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.8% 0% -2.8%
10% -12.1% 0% -12.1%
15% -20.6% 0% -20.6%
20% -28.3% 0% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.01 · official $5.01 (match) · 11 history records