Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T19:19:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
10 0x103d…b34e crypto 806 markets active 2h ago coverage 27d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (106 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,085 (+6%) realized +$1,085 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -30% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -46% what you keep after slip
Net edge-46%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate21%147W / 545L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day106.2pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$179
7 days−$254
14 days−$205
30 days+$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$157
other 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (106 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-36.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 335 -53.3% -57.8% 6% 5% -39.4%
≤30d 692 -29.6% -36.3% 21% 19% -9.2%
≤90d 692 -29.6% -36.3% 21% 19% -9.2%
all 692 -29.6% -36.3% 21% 19% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover106.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.3% 19% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -42.4% 17% -17.9%
15% -47.9% 15% -25.8%
20% -53.0% 13% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -30% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -49% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$38 vs −$10 · ×3.78 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,085
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses147 / 545
Open positions0
Markets (closed)692 / 806
History coverage27d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day106.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 692 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $14 −$14 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $21 −$6 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $12 +$96 +801%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $23 +$80 +343%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$34 +1567%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$10 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$10 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3095 history records