Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x103f…86db
sports · 593 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$157 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$157 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses287 / 306
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)593 / 593
History coverage18d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day73.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 593 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$146
7 days−$598
14 days−$312
30 days−$157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 58¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
ITF Kayseri: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Daniel Phillips Daniel Phillips 81¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
ITF Zagreb: Mia Ristic vs Tena Lukas Tena Lukas 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Maanshan: Xiaoyin Yang vs Evan Zhu Xiaoyin Yang 61¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Kosuke Ogura 67¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Lily Taylor Alexis Nguyen 72¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Tahlia Kokkinis Tahlia Kokkinis 62¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Lauryn John-Baptiste Lauryn John-Baptiste 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Vaasa: Markus Molder vs Matthias Uwe Kask Matthias Uwe Kask 70¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Gaeul Jang vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Gaeul Jang 69¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
ITF Hurghada: Aya El Sayed vs Sara Milanese Aya El Sayed 62¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
ITF kiseljak: Nemanja Malesevic vs Ivan Biletic Nemanja Malesevic 63¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
ITF Messina: Giacomo Crisostomo vs Vito Antonio Darderi Vito Antonio Darderi 63¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Anna Rogers 68¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
ITF Martos: Noah Lopez Cherubino vs Carles Hernandez Noah Lopez Cherubino 65¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Yusuke Takahashi vs Masamichi Imamura Yusuke Takahashi 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Alice Tubello Alice Tubello 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 62¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
ITF Vaasa: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Sten Hiiesalu Sten Hiiesalu 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Nice: Nika Hurkacz vs Denislava Glushkova Nika Hurkacz 61¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Mao Mushika 64¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
ITF Los Angeles: Tanishk Konduri vs Maxwell Exsted Tanishk Konduri 69¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
ITF Brasilia: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Bautista de la Pena Bautista de la Pena 64¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric Pia Lovric 67¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 12 $38 +$13 +34%
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic Jun 12 $37 +$19 +52%
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 12 $37 +$15 +40%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $38 +$19 +50%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $36 +$20 +55%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric Jun 12 $35 −$35 -99%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $38 +$18 +48%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $32 −$32 -99%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $41 +$10 +25%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Denis Petak Jun 12 $35 +$11 +33%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $18 −$17 -99%
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi Jun 12 $43 +$13 +30%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $24 +$12 +48%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $30 +$17 +55%
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Jun 12 $23 −$23 -99%
ITF Maanshan: Hanyi Liu vs Kokoro Isomura Jun 12 $36 +$15 +41%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Jun 12 $34 +$18 +53%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $38 −$38 -99%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 11 $9 −$9 -99%
ITF Los Angeles: Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore Dean Jun 11 $24 −$24 -99%
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Lily Taylor Jun 11 $41 −$41 -99%
ITF Brasilia: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Bautista de la Pena Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Jun 11 $38 +$18 +48%
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Olivia Lincer Jun 11 $42 +$15 +35%
ITF Nice: Masha Lazarenko vs Alina Granwehr Jun 11 $36 +$20 +56%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $36 +$21 +58%
ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Jun 11 $17 −$17 -99%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo Jun 11 $44 +$1 +2%
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Lauryn John-Baptiste Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Tahlia Kokkinis Jun 11 $13 −$12 -99%
ITF Guimaraes: Savannah Broadus vs Yeon Woo Ku Jun 11 $41 +$16 +39%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Corentin Denolly vs Patrik Meszaros Jun 11 $37 +$9 +24%
ITF Guimaraes: Fangran Tian vs Ariana Arseneault Jun 11 $27 +$9 +35%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $36 +$21 +59%
ITF Nice: Berfu Cengiz vs Oana Georgeta Simion Jun 11 $36 +$15 +42%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $35 +$21 +60%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Nao Nishino Jun 11 $45 +$6 +13%
ITF Tokyo: Shu Matsuoka vs Naoya Honda Jun 11 $35 +$17 +48%
ITF Tokyo: Sae Noguchi vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 11 $27 +$9 +32%
ITF Decatur: Ena Koike vs Ana Grubor Jun 11 $24 +$1 +4%
ITF Wichita: Lucas Marionneau vs Daniel Milavsky Jun 11 $34 +$18 +52%
ITF Tokyo: Gaeul Jang vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Jun 11 $27 −$27 -99%
ITF Maanshan: Kasidit Samrej vs Pawit Sornlaksup Jun 11 $17 +$9 +53%
ITF Los Angeles: Tanishk Konduri vs Maxwell Exsted Jun 11 $36 −$35 -99%
ITF Wichita: Enzo Aguiard vs Adria Soriano Barrera Jun 11 $35 +$16 +46%
ITF Los Angeles: Tia Messerli vs Klara Kosan Jun 10 $25 +$11 +44%
ITF Nice: Nika Hurkacz vs Denislava Glushkova Jun 10 $9 −$9 -99%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Matei Florin Breazu vs Julio Cesar Porras Jun 10 $31 +$10 +32%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $32 +$19 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$157
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 68¢ $4 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 68¢ $4 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 68¢ $4 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 69¢ $4 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 66¢ $3 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 66¢ $3 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 66¢ $3 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 65¢ $3 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 66¢ $3 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 77¢ $4 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 77¢ $4 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 77¢ $4 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 77¢ $4 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 60¢ $3 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 78¢ $4 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 78¢ $4 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 77¢ $4 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 67¢ $3 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 66¢ $3 1h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Pablo Perez Ramos 66¢ $3 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 56¢ $3 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 79¢ $4 3h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 75¢ $4 3h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 74¢ $4 3h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 74¢ $4 3h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 74¢ $4 3h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 74¢ $4 3h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 66¢ $3 3h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 66¢ $3 3h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 66¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 398 -60.3% -64.1% 23% 23% -25.3%
≤30d 593 -10.0% -18.6% 48% 48% -13.1%
≤90d 593 -10.0% -18.6% 48% 48% -13.1%
all 593 -10.0% -18.6% 48% 48% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 48% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 46% -21.4%
15% -33.5% 42% -29.0%
20% -40.0% 36% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1859 history records