Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:16:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1040…ac10
sports · 332 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$47 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$50
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses297 / 31
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)328 / 332
History coverage9d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day36.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 328 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$37
14 days−$50
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 94¢ 91¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 94¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti Katarzyna Kawa 94¢ 64¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-31%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $10 −$5 -47%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
ITF Martos: Joao Domingues vs Pablo Martinez Gomez Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Anas Mazdrashki Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ilkley: Completed Match: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Merzig: Tamila Gadamauri vs Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Zongyu Li Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Matthew Dellavedova Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$5 +712%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
ITF Decatur: Madison Brengle vs Sahaja Yamalapalli Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$51
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 94¢ $5 13m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 94¢ $5 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 95¢ $5 1h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 95¢ $5 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 89¢ $5 2h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 94¢ $5 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 97¢ $5 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Martin Landaluce 98¢ $5 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 94¢ $5 6h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 94¢ $5 7h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Harry Wendelken 95¢ $5 7h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 95¢ $5 8h
ITF Martos: Joao Domingues vs Pablo Martinez Gomez BUY Pablo Martinez Gomez 96¢ $5 8h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 94¢ $5 9h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 97¢ $5 9h
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp BUY Niels Mcdonald 94¢ $5 10h
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Anas Mazdrashki BUY Radu Mihai Papoe 97¢ $5 11h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 94¢ $5 15h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Zongyu Li BUY Zongyu Li 96¢ $5 16h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 94¢ $5 16h
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Matthew Dellavedova BUY Matthew Dellavedova 96¢ $5 17h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 18h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 20h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 98¢ $5 21h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 95¢ $5 21h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 94¢ $5 22h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 95¢ $5 22h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 95¢ $5 23h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 97¢ $5 24h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Zeynep Sonmez 94¢ $5 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 243 -1.3% -10.7% 91% 2% -12.3%
≤30d 328 -1.8% -11.1% 91% 1% -12.3%
≤90d 328 -1.8% -11.1% 91% 1% -12.3%
all 328 -1.8% -11.1% 91% 1% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 1% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 1% -20.7%
15% -27.4% 0% -28.3%
20% -34.5% 0% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.20 · official $18.70 (match) · 677 history records