Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1047…4776
other · 10 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$47 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$4
Realized+$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses2 / 6
Open positions2
Markets (closed)8 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$334
Trades / day1350.8
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit10%
Chart Positions 2 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$44
14 days+$44
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will De'Von Achane be traded? Yes $2 $3 +$1 (+38%)
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Alec Pierce be traded? Jun 12 $175 $0 +0%
Will Tadeo Allende win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $1,219 −$1 -0%
Will Kyler Murray be traded? Jun 12 $305 $0 -0%
Will Germán Berterame win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will Tai Baribo win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $79 −$2 -2%
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $1,205 +$3 +0%
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be traded? Jun 11 $4 +$46 +1289%
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $26 −$3 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 99% +$47
world 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 7m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 7m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 8m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 8m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 8m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 8m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 8m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 9m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 9m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 9m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 10m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 10m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 10m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 10m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 11m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 11m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 11m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 15m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 15m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 16m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 16m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 16m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 16m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 16m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 26m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 27m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 27m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 27m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? BUY Yes $2 27m
Will De'Von Achane be traded? SELL Yes $2 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)+134.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +159.6% +134.9% 25% 12% -8.2%
≤30d 8 +159.6% +134.9% 25% 12% -8.2%
≤90d 8 +159.6% +134.9% 25% 12% -8.2%
all 8 +159.6% +134.9% 25% 12% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1350.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +134.9% 12% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here +112.4% 12% -17.0%
15% +91.9% 12% -25.0%
20% +73.1% 12% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.69 · official $3.69 (match) · 1991 history records