Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:28:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1052…441b
sports · 417 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$469 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$768 · open −$82
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$263
Realized−$768
Unrealized−$82
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses246 / 166
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$1,397
Open positions5
Markets (closed)412 / 417
History coverage27d
Avg bet$301
Trades / day47.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 412 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,911
7 days−$3,094
14 days−$2,005
30 days−$768
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 68¢ 58¢ $131 $113 −$18 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Nexus 45¢ 34¢ $89 $68 −$21 (-24%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Metizport 67¢ 80¢ $50 $59 +$9 (+18%)
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 11¢ 10¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-5%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $89 +$35 +40%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $101 +$23 +22%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $62 +$28 +45%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $50 +$16 +32%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $202 +$18 +9%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 14 $344 −$237 -69%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $231 −$124 -54%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $151 −$8 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $60 +$14 +23%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $51 +$56 +110%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $812 −$812 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $364 −$221 -61%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $50 +$4 +7%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $109 +$50 +46%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $50 +$7 +13%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $74 +$36 +49%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $751 −$751 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 −$5 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $202 −$8 -4%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $3,863 −$472 -12%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1,115 −$223 -20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $203 −$171 -84%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,585 −$137 -9%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $699 +$35 +5%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $578 −$116 -20%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $103 −$54 -53%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $476 +$326 +68%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $354 −$354 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 13 $103 −$10 -9%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $885 +$239 +27%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $1,405 +$174 +12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$7 -7%
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $406 −$406 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $302 +$77 +26%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $404 +$164 +41%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $705 +$194 +28%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $530 −$208 -39%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $518 +$193 +37%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $203 −$12 -6%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $101 −$43 -43%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $101 −$17 -17%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $605 −$108 -18%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$81 -80%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$4 -7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 +$88 +172%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$934
other 0% +$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 68¢ $132 45m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 67¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Nexus 45¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Nexus 45¢ $71 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $124 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 64¢ $51 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $67 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $78 2h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY UCAM Esports Club 11¢ $26 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 74¢ $50 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 57¢ $56 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $51 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $51 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $11 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 32¢ $108 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 60¢ $11 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $67 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $89 4h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 75¢ $50 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $51 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $190 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $151 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 71¢ $30 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 31¢ $30 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $51 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 69¢ $18 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 72¢ $202 8h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 55¢ $58 16h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 45¢ $58 16h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 55¢ $61 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 -12.3% -20.6% 50% 42% -14.9%
≤30d 412 +0.3% -9.3% 60% 51% -10.1%
≤90d 412 +0.3% -9.3% 60% 51% -10.1%
all 412 +0.3% -9.3% 60% 51% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 51% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 38% -18.7%
15% -25.9% 21% -26.5%
20% -33.2% 10% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $263.36 · official $295.79 · 1455 history records