Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1061…44f9
crypto · 357 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$90 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses159 / 197
Open positions1
Markets (closed)356 / 357
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day3139.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 356 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$90
7 days−$90
14 days−$90
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 37¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-45%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -69%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$11 -78%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -54%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$6 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$5 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 356 +5.6% -4.5% 45% 37% -11.9%
≤30d 356 +5.6% -4.5% 45% 37% -11.9%
≤90d 356 +5.6% -4.5% 45% 37% -11.9%
all 356 +5.6% -4.5% 45% 37% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3139.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 37% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 25% -20.3%
15% -22.0% 18% -28.0%
20% -29.6% 11% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.58 · official $0.58 (match) · 3500 history records