Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:28:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
10 0x1061…1f47 sports 51 markets active 11h ago coverage 14d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$33 (-9%) realized −$33 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate47%24W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day12.1pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$58
14 days−$39
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% −$42
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -31.2% -37.7% 30% 25% -40.3%
≤30d 51 -7.3% -16.1% 47% 39% -19.2%
≤90d 51 -7.3% -16.1% 47% 39% -19.2%
all 51 -7.3% -16.1% 47% 39% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 39% -19.2%
10% -24.1% 35% -26.9%
15% -31.5% 29% -34.0%
20% -38.2% 22% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -19% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses24 / 27
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage14d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 51 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Jun 17 $9 −$2 -23%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan Jun 17 $2 $0 -2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 17 $3 +$2 +59%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Nigeria Jun 15 $4 −$1 -22%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 15 $2 +$1 +60%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $2 +$1 +35%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $5 −$3 -64%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $6 +$1 +24%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $12 −$6 -51%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $14 +$7 +50%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $15 −$7 -45%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $17 −$5 -28%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 12 $39 −$12 -31%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 10 $10 −$5 -54%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs Nepal Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Oman Jun 10 $34 +$3 +8%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 10 $3 +$2 +62%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 09 $3 $0 -5%
T20 Blast, Women: Durham vs Yorkshire Jun 09 $5 −$1 -17%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $12 −$3 -24%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Jun 09 $15 +$1 +5%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $15 +$7 +43%
T20 Blast, Women: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 08 $6 +$4 +64%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Glamorgan Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 07 $24 +$11 +46%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex Jun 07 $2 +$2 +120%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Yorkshire Jun 07 $4 $0 +7%
T20 Blast, Women: The Blaze vs Lancashire Thunder Jun 07 $6 −$4 -66%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Oman vs Philippines Jun 07 $5 +$1 +23%
Will England win? Jun 07 $2 +$2 +121%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia Jun 07 $1 −$1 -55%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA Jun 07 $3 +$1 +37%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 06 $2 +$1 +70%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 06 $2 +$3 +146%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia Jun 06 $6 +$1 +22%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Japan vs Myanmar Jun 06 $2 +$2 +90%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Hong Kong, China Jun 05 $4 −$1 -24%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Bahrain vs Singapore Jun 05 $8 −$3 -42%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will New Zealand win? Jun 04 $1 +$1 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi SELL Brazil 96¢ $5 10h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi BUY Brazil 94¢ $5 11h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi SELL Malawi 5¢ $0 11h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan SELL South Africa 81¢ $2 11h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi BUY Malawi 39¢ $1 12h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi BUY Malawi 38¢ $1 12h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi SELL Brazil 62¢ $2 12h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi BUY Brazil 75¢ $2 13h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh SELL Australia 100¢ $5 14h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi SELL Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 100¢ $5 14h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh BUY Australia 93¢ $5 18h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 81¢ $2 19h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 60¢ $1 21h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 63¢ $2 23h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Nigeria SELL Brazil 100¢ $3 2d
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Nigeria BUY Brazil 78¢ $2 2d
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Nigeria SELL Nigeria 18¢ $1 2d
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi SELL Rwanda 96¢ $3 2d
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Nigeria BUY Nigeria 57¢ $2 2d
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Rwanda 59¢ $2 2d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 47¢ $2 2d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands SELL Bangladesh 100¢ $3 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 5¢ $0 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 38¢ $1 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 72¢ $2 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 27¢ $2 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 73¢ $2 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 34¢ $2 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 35¢ $1 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 33¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 199 history records