Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1069…b902
crypto · 858 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$246 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$246 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$246
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses710 / 148
Open positions0
Markets (closed)858 / 858
History coverage85d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 858 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$246
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +2.2% -7.5% 84% 12% -7.5%
≤30d 149 -0.3% -9.8% 80% 12% -12.4%
≤90d 858 -0.6% -10.1% 83% 13% -11.3%
all 858 -0.6% -10.1% 83% 13% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 13% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 1% -19.7%
15% -26.6% 0% -27.5%
20% -33.8% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1730 history records