trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Dec 02 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale? | Dec 01 | $513 | +$2 | +0% |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour? | Nov 25 | $4,749 | −$4,749 | -100% |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | Nov 25 | $4,680 | +$220 | +5% |
| Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 23 | $1,140 | −$1,131 | -99% |
| Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 23 | $11,416 | −$10,738 | -94% |
| Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 23 | $4,531 | −$4,489 | -99% |
| Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 23 | $813 | −$813 | -100% |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M? | Nov 23 | $2,010 | −$1,946 | -97% |
| Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 22 | $506 | −$506 | -100% |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 21 | $220 | −$216 | -98% |
| Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 18 | $513 | +$18,036 | +3514% |
| Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 18 | $227 | +$2 | +1% |
| Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 18 | $2,453 | +$25 | +1% |
| Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 18 | $4,625 | +$1,509 | +33% |
| Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 18 | $5,643 | +$149,244 | +2645% |
| Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 18 | $26,939 | +$103,208 | +383% |
| Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 18 | $25,164 | +$295,668 | +1175% |
| Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 18 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 18 | $148 | −$148 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Sep 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 22 | +201.7% | +173.0% | 45% | 27% | +536.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +173.0% | 27% | +536.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +146.9% | 27% | +475.5% |
| 15% | +123.0% | 23% | +419.9% |
| 20% | +101.2% | 18% | +368.9% |