trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +10.5% | +0.0% | 48% | 43% | -23.4% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 50% | 39% | -20.3% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 50% | 39% | -20.3% |
| all | 28 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 50% | 39% | -20.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.1% | 39% | -20.3% |
| 10% | -14.2% | 29% | -27.9% |
| 15% | -22.5% | 21% | -34.9% |
| 20% | -30.1% | 14% | -41.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | +$5 | +52% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$17 | +57% |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$5 | -52% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$20 | +388% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$2 | +21% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $201 | −$93 | -46% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 12 | $101 | +$7 | +7% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $200 | −$44 | -22% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$17 | +165% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 10 | $71 | +$9 | +13% |
| Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026? | Jun 06 | $10 | −$3 | -33% |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A | Jun 05 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | Jun 04 | $20 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Jun 04 | $30 | +$7 | +23% |
| Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 20 | May 31 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | May 31 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |