Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:17:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x107c…f6d4
crypto · 21 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$30 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses8 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day97.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$10 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -19.5% -27.1% 38% 33% -30.4%
≤30d 21 -19.5% -27.1% 38% 33% -30.4%
≤90d 21 -19.5% -27.1% 38% 33% -30.4%
all 21 -19.5% -27.1% 38% 33% -30.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 33% -30.4%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 33% -37.1%
15% -40.5% 24% -43.2%
20% -46.3% 19% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 102 history records