Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:58:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x108f…f092
crypto · 32 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses19 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$5
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? No 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $3 +$3 +109%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -63%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $17 +$1 +9%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 10 $11 +$6 +52%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $8 +$6 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 07 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% +$10
tech 16% −$2
other 9% −$13
politics 8% +$6
sports 6% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $3 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +8.9% -1.5% 64% 52% -5.3%
≤30d 32 +1.4% -8.3% 59% 47% -9.9%
≤90d 32 +1.4% -8.3% 59% 47% -9.9%
all 32 +1.4% -8.3% 59% 47% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 47% -9.9%
10% -17.1% 47% -18.5%
15% -25.1% 41% -26.4%
20% -32.4% 38% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 64 history records