Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:12:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
10 0x1091…3257 crypto 113 markets active 3d ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (118 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$4,237 (+24%) realized +$4,237 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate54%61W / 52L
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$159per market
Trades / day118.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$15
14 days+$446
30 days+$3,098
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,098
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (118 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +17.3% +6.2% 62% 46% -8.3%
≤30d 113 +16.6% +5.5% 54% 48% +7.4%
≤90d 113 +16.6% +5.5% 54% 48% +7.4%
all 113 +16.6% +5.5% 54% 48% +7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover118.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.5% 48% +7.4%
10% ← realistic here -4.6% 39% -2.8%
15% -13.8% 29% -12.2%
20% -22.3% 27% -20.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +18% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +17% · $-wt +18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +23% → late +10% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
23.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$93 vs −$49 · ×1.89 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.21 per $1 lost it wins $2.21
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,237
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses61 / 52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)113 / 113
History coverage22d
Avg bet$159
Trades / day118.5
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 113 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $74 +$17 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $71 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$13 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$27 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$104 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $149 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $115 −$69 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $58 −$13 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $218 −$51 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$29 +292%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $176 +$50 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $166 +$15 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $74 +$25 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $190 −$36 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $171 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 09 $251 −$20 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $154 +$44 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $109 +$75 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 09 $96 +$30 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $60 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $153 +$39 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 07 $42 −$12 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 07 $186 +$94 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $46 −$43 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $61 +$172 +282%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 07 $31 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $82 +$29 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 07 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$24 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 07 $231 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 06 $123 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 06 $207 +$64 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 06 $34 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 06 $114 −$21 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 06 $41 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 06 $87 +$49 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 06 $43 +$24 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 02 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 30 $158 +$47 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 30 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 29 $17 +$28 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 29 $95 −$17 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 29 $159 +$25 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 29 $71 +$165 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 29 $221 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 29 $82 +$48 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $6 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2712 history records