trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,298 | $1,298 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $27 | $27 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026 | Jun 22 | $1,321 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom | Jun 22 | $1,192 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Kim Eun-hye win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election | May 09 | $77 | $0 | -0% |
| Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | May 09 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | May 09 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 04 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | May 04 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 04 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 04 | $875 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first r | May 04 | $859 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 04 | $806 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on | May 03 | $896 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | May 03 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 | May 03 | $905 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 02 | $807 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 02 | $885 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | May 02 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? | May 02 | $862 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $825 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next | Apr 07 | $124 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Apr 07 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 07 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Apr 02 | $137 | $0 | -0% |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 02 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Apr 02 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 29 | $111 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 29 | $50 | $0 | -0% |