trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +23.8% | +12.0% | 56% | 56% | +39.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +23.8% | +12.0% | 56% | 56% | +39.1% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +14.8% | +3.8% | 47% | 47% | +26.1% |
| all | 20 | +13.8% | +3.0% | 50% | 50% | +25.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.0% | 50% | +25.8% |
| 10% | -6.9% | 50% | +13.8% |
| 15% | -15.9% | 45% | +2.8% |
| 20% | -24.1% | 40% | -7.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $91 | $91 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $22 | $21 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 70¢ | 72¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 22¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $69 | +$39 | +57% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$1 | -31% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $21 | −$4 | -18% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $10 | +$6 | +55% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $21 | +$43 | +208% |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, | May 10 | $10 | −$8 | -84% |
| Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, | May 10 | $3 | +$7 | +214% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | May 08 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? | May 05 | $4 | $0 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | May 05 | $10 | −$5 | -52% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | May 05 | $5 | +$3 | +58% |
| Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026? | Jan 31 | $3 | +$1 | +28% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | Jan 26 | $2 | −$1 | -52% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | Jan 26 | $16 | +$8 | +48% |