Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:09:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10a3…ee88
crypto · 774 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$25 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses279 / 490
Open positions0
Markets (closed)769 / 774
History coverage34d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day23.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 769 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$2
14 days+$15
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +280%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +280%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +240%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +240%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +228%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +266%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +252%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +218%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 514 -3.2% -12.4% 28% 28% -9.8%
≤30d 620 -1.6% -11.0% 32% 32% -9.8%
≤90d 769 -4.1% -13.2% 36% 36% -12.8%
all 769 -4.1% -13.2% 36% 36% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 36% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 36% -21.2%
15% -29.1% 34% -28.8%
20% -36.1% 30% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.46 · official $0.00 (match) · 1088 history records