Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:24:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10b0…8525
sports · 312 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8,186 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,809 · open +$1,151
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,463
Realized+$6,809
Unrealized+$1,151
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses136 / 153
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$2,160
Open positions27
Markets (closed)289 / 312
History coverage8d
Avg bet$454
Trades / day395.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 27 History 289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,337
7 days−$3,441
14 days+$6,809
30 days+$6,809
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 47¢ 90¢ $935 $1,790 +$855 (+91%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 68¢ 69¢ $1,360 $1,390 +$30 (+2%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 46¢ 100¢ $415 $900 +$485 (+117%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 52¢ 78¢ $520 $785 +$265 (+51%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $701 $706 +$5 (+1%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 58¢ 62¢ $638 $688 +$50 (+8%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $644 $642 −$2 (-0%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 60¢ 62¢ $514 $527 +$13 (+2%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Gen.G 52¢ 52¢ $431 $432 +$0 (+0%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 57¢ 40¢ $570 $405 −$165 (-29%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner G2 Minnesota 36¢ 36¢ $360 $365 +$5 (+1%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner G2 Minnesota 36¢ 36¢ $360 $365 +$5 (+1%)
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) Conor McGregor 30¢ 32¢ $298 $310 +$11 (+4%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 59¢ 55¢ $322 $300 −$23 (-7%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Gen.G 25¢ 26¢ $250 $255 +$5 (+2%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier G2 Minnesota 22¢ 22¢ $220 $215 −$5 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 48¢ 40¢ $240 $202 −$38 (-16%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner G2 Minnesota 37¢ 37¢ $185 $185 +$0 (+0%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 34¢ 36¢ $170 $182 +$12 (+7%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? Yes 33¢ 36¢ $166 $182 +$17 (+10%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $160 $166 +$6 (+4%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 63¢ 60¢ $149 $144 −$5 (-3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $148 $132 −$16 (-11%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 61¢ 62¢ $116 $119 +$3 (+2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $71 $76 +$5 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5) Jun 13 $320 +$180 +56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? Jun 13 $146 −$146 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Jun 13 $174 −$174 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $239 −$239 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $315 −$315 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $190 −$190 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $569 −$569 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $154 −$154 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $18 +$25 +138%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $269 +$431 +160%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $62 +$90 +144%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $1,155 +$1,358 +118%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $452 +$370 +82%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $490 +$510 +104%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $53 +$240 +454%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $501 −$500 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $365 +$135 +37%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $635 +$2,607 +411%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $400 +$100 +25%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $879 +$129 +15%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $990 +$758 +77%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1,775 +$223 +13%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,305 +$241 +18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,429 +$431 +30%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $102 −$81 -79%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $317 −$156 -49%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3? Jun 13 $251 −$251 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? Jun 13 $354 −$354 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 13 $357 −$357 -100%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 13 $338 −$338 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $195 −$195 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $307 −$307 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? Jun 13 $484 −$484 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 13 $480 −$480 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $610 −$610 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $310 −$310 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,003 −$531 -53%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $1,022 −$736 -72%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? Jun 13 $818 −$818 -100%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $438 −$438 -100%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $540 −$540 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 13 $1,159 −$1,159 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $918 +$782 +85%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1,608 +$589 +37%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $645 +$855 +133%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $279 +$221 +79%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $71 +$57 +80%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $306 +$593 +194%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$12,787
other 9% −$4,832
crypto 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 51¢ $5 11m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 Minnesota 36¢ $93 12m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 Minnesota 36¢ $139 16m
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 51¢ $10 33m
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 52¢ $416 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 25¢ $128 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 48¢ $240 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 60¢ $520 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 68¢ $343 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 25¢ $128 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $1,055 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $1,055 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $117 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 68¢ $1,030 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 Minnesota 36¢ $6 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 41¢ $41 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 42¢ $42 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 43¢ $43 2h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 Minnesota 36¢ $22 2h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 57¢ $570 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 52¢ $520 2h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 Minnesota 36¢ $65 2h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 Minnesota 36¢ $3 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 48¢ $134 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 48¢ $33 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 49¢ $15 2h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 Minnesota 36¢ $16 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 49¢ $24 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 49¢ $10 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 36¢ $37 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 263 -10.0% -18.6% 42% 41% -12.1%
≤30d 289 +4.0% -5.9% 47% 46% -4.9%
≤90d 289 +4.0% -5.9% 47% 46% -4.9%
all 289 +4.0% -5.9% 47% 46% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover395.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 46% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 44% -14.0%
15% -23.1% 42% -22.3%
20% -30.7% 34% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,462.96 · official $11,463.46 (match) · 3500 history records