Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:14:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10bf…0d66
crypto · 195 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$77 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$84 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized+$84
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses151 / 43
Open positions1
Markets (closed)194 / 195
History coverage5d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day39.9
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$81
7 days+$84
14 days+$84
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 69¢ 68¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$12 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$13 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$15 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$18 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$15 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$14 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$10 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$76
finance 3% +$7
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $31 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $31 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $31 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $31 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $31 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $31 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $30 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $31 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $31 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +76%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 +7.4% -2.8% 78% 76% -6.5%
≤30d 194 +7.4% -2.8% 78% 76% -6.5%
≤90d 194 +7.4% -2.8% 78% 76% -6.5%
all 194 +7.4% -2.8% 78% 76% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 76% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 73% -15.5%
15% -20.6% 41% -23.6%
20% -28.4% 8% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.35 · official $29.35 (match) · 360 history records