Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:54:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10d2…46d1
crypto · 904 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$10 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$11
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses644 / 259
Open positions1
Markets (closed)903 / 904
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day169.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 903 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 78¢ 56¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 903 +0.5% -9.1% 71% 70% -9.1%
≤30d 903 +0.5% -9.1% 71% 70% -9.1%
≤90d 903 +0.5% -9.1% 71% 70% -9.1%
all 903 +0.5% -9.1% 71% 70% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover169.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 70% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 61% -17.8%
15% -25.7% 43% -25.7%
20% -33.0% 10% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.42 · official $6.73 (match) · 1657 history records