Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:14:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10e0…c736
sports · 305 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$23,299 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22,897 · open +$223
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,452
Realized+$22,897
Unrealized+$223
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses154 / 142
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$3,977
Open positions9
Markets (closed)296 / 305
History coverage256d
Avg bet$1,441
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 9 History 296 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,536
7 days−$10,878
14 days−$10,942
30 days−$4,275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 22¢ 82¢ $327 $1,220 +$892 (+273%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 25¢ 18¢ $1,552 $1,144 −$408 (-26%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 57¢ 44¢ $1,450 $1,125 −$325 (-22%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $1,000 $991 −$9 (-1%)
IR Iran leading at halftime? Yes 39¢ 37¢ $1,000 $939 −$61 (-6%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $750 $742 −$8 (-1%)
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 12¢ 16¢ $550 $697 +$147 (+27%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $300 $299 −$1 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $300 $296 −$4 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 53¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 45¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 64¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Seattle Mariners 48¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 66¢ 0¢ $2,725 $0 −$2,725 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 37¢ 0¢ $2,200 $0 −$2,200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 55¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon Lautaro Midon 23¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $640 +$709 +111%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $708 +$402 +57%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,476 +$1,356 +55%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3,977 +$561 +14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $153 +$260 +170%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6,330 +$1,066 +17%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2,011 +$412 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $102 +$278 +272%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $1,217 −$1,200 -99%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $1,520 −$1,075 -71%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $3,544 −$3,366 -95%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $508 −$373 -74%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $51 +$96 +188%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,555 +$3,224 +71%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2,751 −$2,725 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,621 −$1,621 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3,038 −$2,583 -85%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $404 −$337 -83%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,045 +$580 +19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2,242 −$2,200 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,021 +$1,056 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,328 +$1,616 +69%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,519 +$1,112 +73%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $1,318 +$990 +75%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 10 $255 −$255 -100%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Jun 10 $357 −$357 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 10 $1,313 −$1,313 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 10 $685 −$685 -100%
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic Jun 10 $1,565 −$1,561 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 10 $1,467 −$1,467 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $1,044 −$1,044 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 10 $2,022 −$2,022 -100%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 10 $3,017 −$3,017 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 10 $3,535 −$3,535 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $1,321 −$305 -23%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $912 +$806 +88%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $762 +$718 +94%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,212 +$560 +46%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $658 +$520 +79%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $560 +$832 +149%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1,661 +$449 +27%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 07 $2,011 +$415 +21%
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 07 $310 −$295 -95%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $14,539 +$981 +7%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $5,034 +$1,459 +29%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $3,532 +$1,473 +42%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 06 $764 +$1,329 +174%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $1,563 −$1,563 -100%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 06 $1,065 +$881 +83%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $1,089 +$469 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$25,318
other 3% −$993
world 0% −$70
crypto 0% −$320
tech 0% −$400
politics 0% −$295
economics 0% −$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 56m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $152 59m
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $102 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 26¢ $31 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 34¢ $51 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 40¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 100¢ $1,110 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 100¢ $3,832 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $507 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $2,786 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 87¢ $413 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 31¢ $153 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 57¢ $152 5h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 63¢ $708 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 72¢ $252 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 37¢ $51 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 34¢ $229 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 58¢ $203 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 82¢ $2,011 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 24¢ $205 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 77¢ $1,472 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 71¢ $605 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 67¢ $505 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $1,012 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $5,810 7h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 53¢ $1,014 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $2,422 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $1,510 9h
IR Iran leading at halftime? BUY Yes 39¢ $1,018 9h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1,265 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -3.4% -12.6% 53% 51% -17.7%
≤30d 148 -15.4% -23.5% 48% 46% -9.6%
≤90d 258 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 48% -4.7%
all 296 -5.1% -14.2% 52% 50% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 50% -3.8%
10% -22.4% 44% -13.0%
15% -29.9% 39% -21.4%
20% -36.8% 31% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,452.46 · official $7,452.46 (match) · 910 history records